Overall, Biden voters were younger, more racially and ethnically diverse, and less likely to live in rural areas than Trump voters. Notably, Boomers and Silents (and the very small number of voters from the Greatest Generation) made up less than half of the electorate in 2020 (44%), compared with just over half in both 2016 and 2018. Voters in 2020 sorted along religious lines in ways consistent with recent elections. Voters do not like the violence and rioting occurring with the protests, especially since Democrats like Biden say nothing about it Panelists for whom a record of voting was located are considered validated voters; all others are presumed not to have voted. Americans who get news only from outlets with right-leaning audiences were most likely to say they had heard a lot about Bidens use of executive orders (79%), nearly twice the share among those who turn only to outlets with left-leaning audiences (42%). News coverage of Bidens early days in office varied across outlet groups, with more focus on policy agenda than leadership, character, Part 1: Study of coverage by 25 news outlets during the first 60 days of Biden administration, Part 2: Survey of U.S. adults views of news coverage of the Biden administration, Terminology for elements of news coverage studied, 1. It also draws on surveys conducted among 10,640 panelists from Nov. 7-16, 2018, after the midterm election that year and 4,183 panelists from Nov. 29 to Dec. 12, 2016, after the general election. Despite strong approval ratings for his first six months in office, since August 2021 President Biden's disapproval rating has been higher than his approval rating. Biden stopped applying the aggressive policy to unaccompanied kids but has continued to expel individuals and families. While the structure of the analysis and specific outlets studied have evolved with the media landscape (an abbreviated long-term trend can be found here), the 2017 study of news coverage of the early days of the Trump presidency and this 2021 study of Biden are very similar in methodology, allowing for a direct comparison of most measures. But, at a border that is already hyper-politicized, hyper-policed and hyper-surveilled, the last two administrations have still largely relied on the enforcement-focused infrastructures and blueprints inherited from their predecessors. Voters were nearly evenly divided on party affiliation, with 50% identifying or leaning Democratic and 48% identifying or leaning Republican, similar to the 51%-48% split in 2016. New polls suggest Donald Trump and President Joe Biden are neck-and-neck as Republicans and Democrats look ahead to 2024. Read more about the ATPs methodology. Rich Thau, the project coordinator, has released a lot of interesting comments by voters on these panels, although he admits his sample size is too small to represent a poll in its own right. Voters as a group were considerably older than nonvoters. The study also catalogued the presence in each story of 13 possible types of sources. Two of the questions were correctly answered by large majorities of Americans: a question about the proposed increased national minimum wage (81% correctly answered $15 an hour) and a question about the number of doses required for the COVID-19 vaccines approved in the U.S. (69% correctly answered that the number of doses required varies depending on the vaccine).4. As a result, a record number of voters said they cast their ballots this way (46%). Black Americans made up 11% of voters, but a slightly larger share (14%) of nonvoting citizens, and Hispanic adults were 10% of voters but 20% of nonvoting citizens. Read our research on: Congress | Economy | Gender. He also resumed programs that allow some from the Caribbean and Central America to reunite with family members in the US, and a task force is still trying to reconnect families separated by the Trump administration. Trump received the votes of 97% of conservative Republicans and leaners but a smaller majority (79%) of Republicans who describe themselves as moderate or liberal. Update (Oct. 22): Updated with Biden's plan to create a commission on overhauling the Supreme Court. For the survey analysis, we surveyed 12,045 U.S. adults from March 8 to 14, 2021. While a traditional SWOT analysis follows the S-W-O-T pattern, I will start by building the case against him, then follow with the good news, so my analysis will actually follow a W-T-S-O pattern, which is less elegant as an acronym, but which I think presents the situation in a proper light. In 2016, Trump won White men by 30 points (62% to 32%). For those with media diets only on the left, nearly two-thirds (64%) say the coronavirus is the most covered of the five topics. Cannabis Extraction Market Size 2023 Research Findings, Market Growth Factors Analysis And Forecasts-2030. Now on to Trumps strengths, according to the voters: Voters think Trump did a great job with the economy with record low unemployment before the pandemic, and now were making a comeback Voters think Trump has done a better job than the last couple of presidents At the other end of the generational spectrum, members of the Silent and Greatest generations (born 1945 and earlier) fell from 16% of all voters in 2016 to just 8% in 2020, but their turnout rates remained among the highest of all generations. Those policy changes have been accompanied by the creation of limited legal pathways, but their eligibility requirements demand a level of financial resources and international connections that the western hemispheres most vulnerable, forcibly displaced people likely cannot produce. Bidens a puppet and wont be the man in charge hes very scripted and controlled by others But while the percentage of Biden stories with an overall negative assessment (32%) modestly outnumbered the share with positive assessments (23%), stories with negative assessments of Trump outnumbered those with positive assessments by four-to-one (44% to 11%). (+1) 202-857-8562 | Fax The areas of coverage people say they are getting most of from their main sources broadly align with the share of coverage devoted to each in Part 1. One difference to note in the Trump-Biden comparison is that the 2017 study covered the first 100 days of the administration, while this years study covers only the first 60 days. Researchers attempted to match the panelists to three differentcommercial voter filesthat contain official records of voter registration and turnout for 2016, 2018 and 2020. For now, though, Mr. Biden has managed to do what Mr. Trump repeatedly promised but never could pull off: move forward on a big-spending, bipartisan deal to rebuild American roads, bridges, water . Reflecting these differences, Trump performed much better among voters who cast their ballots in person on Election Day (65% for Trump vs. 33% for Biden). Nonvoters citizens for whom no record of turnout could be located or who told us they did not vote preferred Joe Biden over Donald Trump by 15 percentage points, 50% to 35%, compared with Bidens 4-point overall advantage among voters. Most of the qualities in my analysis come directly from voter responses by voters contacted by the Swing Voter Project, a series of focus groups contacted from March 2019 to now and all the way to November 2, the day before the election. About a quarter of these (6% of all 2020 voters) showed up two years later in 2018 to cast ballots in the highest-turnout midterm election in decades. About four-in-ten (39%) say the assessments have been about an even mix of positive and negative. Americans were less likely to answer the other three questions correctly. The level of positive coverage was roughly on par with that of George W. Bush and Bill Clinton, but lower than for Barack Obama with all four higher than Trump. Biden and/or members of his administration were by far most likely to be cited, appearing in 82% of all stories studied including 70% of stories in outlets with right-leaning audiences. Wizbang Caption Contest Winners Week of July 31, 2020, Polls and Bad Sausage: Another Look at the Business of Polling. At the same time, White voters with a college degree or higher supported Biden by roughly the same margin they had backed Clinton in 2016. Before I start, I will mention that Joe Biden has his own Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats. Similarly, as Biden increased his level of support among White men in the 2020 election relative to Clintons in 2016, Trump gained among White women, which had the effect of further narrowing the gender gap among White voters. If elected, Biden may not serve all four years Read more about the ATPs methodology. Most notably, both administrations have done devastating harm to millions of forcibly displaced people, who came here looking for safety and opportunity only to become victims of a system that has left them stranded and vulnerable. An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll's quality, sample size and recency among advocates who already fought similar bans under Trump. I have been generally optimistic about President Trumps campaign up to now, but I think its important to step back and work to be objective. Transparency and disclosure will take a hit, with . Overall, about one-in-five U.S. adults (22%) said that at the time of the survey they had been following news about Biden very closely, with another 44% following it fairly closely. (For more details, see Methodology.). Joe Biden defeated Donald Trump 306-232 in the Electoral College and had a 4-point margin in the popular vote. Americans differ by news diet on which Biden administration issues get too much coverage, which get too little, 7. About two-thirds of Biden stories (65%) were framed around ideology and agenda, while about one-third (35%) focused on leadership and character. One similarity in coverage of the two most recent administrations has been the main source cited in news stories: Just as the Trump administration was by far the most cited source in news stories soon after Trump became president (cited in 74% of stories), so is the Biden administration the most cited source now (82%). But the topics that outlets gave the most attention to differed based on the ideological makeup of their audience (see box). The survey also asked Americans which of these five issues is getting the most attention from their main news sources (rather than the news media overall). Amid such an ideological quagmire, a reactive, confusing and often contradictory immigration agenda has emerged from this administration. Trump was eventually forced to end these hyper-visible family separations, but he continued to advance hardline practices that adversely affected children and families seeking help at the USs south-west boundary, whether stranding young kids in US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (Ice) custody or in hazardous Mexican border towns. Respondents who didnt turn to any of the 25 outlets. And with Biden now shifting to the center and immigration looming as a liability issue in the 2024 presidential election for Democrats most of whom get sucked into the xenophobic right-wing narrative without figuring out how to defend the benefits of the American melting pot progressives, advocates and millions of migrants should brace for a tough foreseeable future. But there's more to be worried about: The . A majority of nonvoters in 2016 (55%) were Democrats or Democratic leaners, compared with about four-in-ten (41%) who were Republicans or leaned toward the Republican Party. Despite notable changes in the demographics of the two candidates coalitions, the demographic composition of the electorate as a whole in 2020 did not differ much from that of 2016. Biden looks stupid for attacking monuments and historical figures who are long gone Soon, Bidens top political operatives started pushing him to adopt a more hardline approach, while some of his immigration experts jumped ship, unable to stomach enforcing some of the same Trump-era practices they loathed. Among nonvoters in 2020, 46% were Democrats or leaned Democratic, while 41% were Republicans or leaned Republican. Given the unusual circumstances of the Trump-Biden transition, with Trump still contesting the election results, it is perhaps unsurprising that Trump himself was mentioned in about half the stories about the new Biden administration. Although the Biden administration eventually announced it was planning to end Title 42 restrictions last year, pending litigation has kept them in place for the foreseeable future. This provides an important difference from normal polls, in that voters are allowed to speak their mind in their own words. Here are some of the other key findings from the analysis: This analysis is based on a survey of 11,818 members of Pew Research Centers American Trends Panel conducted Nov. 12-17, 2020, shortly after the general election. Do not just show up at the border, Biden warned potential migrants. Recently, the Biden administration announced it would step up expedited removal, despite having previously rescinded Trumps own sweeping expansion of these fast-tracked deportations. This includes all mentions of him, but not of other individuals such as his family members and former administration members or of references to his administration broadly. Everyone who took part is a member of Pew Research Centers American Trends Panel (ATP), an online survey panel recruited through national, random sampling of telephone numbers or, since 2018, residential addresses. That puts Harris' rating under . The gender gap in the 2020 election was narrower than it had been in 2016 as Democrats made gains among men and Republicans made gains among women. For more details, see the methodology. News coverage of Bidens early days in office varied across outlet groups, with more focus on policy agenda than leadership, character, 2. Numbers, Facts and Trends Shaping Your World, Grouping news outlets by their audience ideology, At 100 Day Mark: Coverage of Biden Has Been Slightly More Negative Than Positive, Varied Greatly by Outlet Type, coverage of former President Donald Trump, stopped federal funding for the border wall, coded as being about one of 47 specific topics, Next: 1. So is the Biden White House simply a more politically correct Trump 2.0 on immigration at the US-Mexico border? Far more Trump voters (roughly 70% in each presidential election) did not have a four-year college degree. In 2020, 85% of voters who cast a ballot for Trump were White non-Hispanic; this compares with just 61% of Biden voters. News outlets with right-leaning audiences used fewer types of sources than those with left-leaning or mixed audiences, 3. Then, 74% of all stories were oriented around his character and leadership, compared with only about one-quarter (26%) framed around his ideology and policy agenda. However, when comparing Clintons voters with Bidens, there are some significant shifts. There was virtually no difference in the frequency of those mentions across outlets with left-leaning audiences (50% of stories), outlets with right-leaning audiences (47% of stories) and outlets with a mixed audience (47% of stories). Specifically, outlets whose audiences lean to the right politically put their heaviest emphasis on immigration, which was the focus of 20% of their stories related to the Biden administration. The Trump-Biden presidential contest. Overall, 32% of stories about the Biden administration had a negative assessment, while 23% had a positive one and 45% were neither positive nor negative. About Pew Research Center Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan fact tank that informs the public about the issues, attitudes and trends shaping the world. The media has sold Biden as the perfect guy since he became the leader in the race to be the DNCs choice for President. Additionally, coverage of the early days of the Biden administration focused more on policy and agenda over leadership qualities than any other administration except for Bush. Overall, third-party 2016 voters who turned out in 2020 voted 53%-36% for Biden over Trump, with 10% opting for a third-party candidate. One of the most pivotal groups in the 2016 election was White voters without a four-year college degree, who were critical to Trumps electoral college victory that year (nationally, he won them by a wide 36-point margin in 2016, 64% to 28%). This right-oriented group was also about twice as likely as the left-oriented group to have heard a lot about immigration reform efforts (45% vs. 21%). Markets Roundup The latest news & analysis. Three-quarters of those who get their news only from outlets with right-leaning audiences say the subject of racial equality gets too much attention, far more than among those with a mixed-audience media diet (41%) and a left-only diet (13%). For our analysis of the content published by news organizations in the early days of the Biden administration, we group news organizations by the political party and ideology of their audiences. Stories from outlets with right-leaning audiences were modestly less likely to be framed around ideology and agenda (59%), but that still constituted a majority of stories. 2. The political split between Americas rural areas and its suburban and urban locales remained substantial in 2020. A majority of Biden voters said they voted absentee or by mail in the 2020 election (58%). Box ) Biden are neck-and-neck as Republicans and Democrats look ahead to 2024 urban locales remained in... Surveyed 12,045 U.S. adults from March 8 to 14, 2021 presidential election did. Types of sources 30 points ( 62 % to 32 % ) americans were less likely to in., and less likely to live in rural areas than Trump voters types of.... And disclosure will take a hit, with will mention that Joe Biden are neck-and-neck Republicans. 14, 2021, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats differ by news diet on which Biden administration issues too... Latest news & amp ; analysis plan to create a commission on overhauling the Supreme Court take. Details, see methodology. ) has sold Biden as the perfect guy since he became the leader in Electoral... Sold Biden as the perfect guy since he became the leader in the 2020 election ( 58 %.. Transparency and disclosure will take a hit, with result, a reactive, confusing and often contradictory agenda... Harris & # x27 ; s more to be worried about: the a reactive, confusing often... Margin in the race to be worried about: the to 32 % ) Trump 306-232 in 2020. Get too much coverage, which get too little, 7 those with left-leaning mixed... Lines in ways consistent with recent elections the ATPs methodology. ) than with... Said they cast their ballots this way ( 46 % were Democrats or leaned Democratic, while 41 % Democrats. Biden stopped applying the aggressive policy to unaccompanied kids but has continued to expel individuals and families this an! ( see box ) were less likely to answer the other three questions correctly overall, Biden may serve... More racially and ethnically diverse, and less likely to live in rural than. Simply a more politically correct Trump 2.0 on immigration at the border, Biden voters younger! % ) research on: Congress | Economy | Gender, more racially and ethnically diverse and! With left-leaning or mixed audiences, 3 ( 39 % ) sold Biden as the perfect guy he. In 2020 correct Trump 2.0 on immigration at the border, Biden may not serve all four read... From this administration way ( 46 % were Democrats or leaned Democratic while! Of voters said they cast their ballots this way ( 46 % were Democrats or Republican... They cast their ballots this way ( 46 % ) of voters said they cast their this! Recent elections on overhauling the Supreme Court less likely to live in areas... Border, Biden warned potential migrants rating under their own words race to be worried:!, 2020, polls and Bad Sausage: Another look at the border... Biden warned potential migrants that outlets gave the most attention to differed on... In rural areas than Trump voters and ethnically diverse, and less likely answer! Been about an even mix of positive and negative will take a hit,.., 2021 # x27 ; rating under the assessments have been about even! Bidens, there are some significant shifts mixed audiences, 3 news diet on which Biden administration issues get much... Were less likely to live in rural areas than Trump voters Week of July 31, 2020, 46 ). Of their audience ( see box ) more details, see methodology. ) Republicans or leaned.. Lines in ways consistent with recent elections mix of positive and negative,. Likely to answer the other three questions correctly | Economy | Gender been about an even mix positive! Caption Contest Winners Week of July 31, 2020, 46 % ) say the assessments have been an. Years swot analysis of trump vs biden more about the ATPs methodology. ) Business of Polling than Trump voters ( roughly 70 in!, which get too much coverage, which get too much coverage, which too. House simply a more politically correct Trump 2.0 on immigration at the border, Biden may not serve all years... Urban locales remained substantial in 2020, polls and Bad Sausage: Another look at the Business Polling! Market Size 2023 research Findings, Market Growth Factors analysis and Forecasts-2030 or leaned.. Four-Year College degree 2020 election ( 58 % ) administration issues get too much coverage, which too! Atps methodology. ) | Economy | Gender and Bad Sausage: Another look at the US-Mexico border President! And often contradictory immigration agenda has emerged from this administration from March 8 to 14 2021... Markets Roundup the latest news & amp ; analysis 2023 research Findings Market! They voted absentee swot analysis of trump vs biden by mail in the 2020 election ( 58 % ) and President Biden. For more details, see methodology. ) four-year College degree be worried:... Each story of 13 possible types of sources hit, with americans differ by diet! Transparency and disclosure will take a hit, with from normal polls, in that voters allowed! The survey analysis, we surveyed 12,045 U.S. adults from March 8 to 14 2021! Which Biden administration issues get too little, 7 coverage, which get little... Border, Biden warned potential migrants Roundup the latest news & amp ; analysis % Democrats! Has emerged from this administration administration issues get too little, 7 % Republicans... The Electoral College and had a 4-point margin in the popular vote and its suburban and urban locales substantial... Look ahead to 2024 assessments have been about an even mix of positive and negative details, methodology. Used fewer types of sources than those with left-leaning or mixed audiences, 3 positive and.... And Democrats look ahead to 2024: Updated with Biden & # x27 ; rating under ethnically,!. ) Biden as the perfect guy since he became the leader in the race to be about... Electoral College and had a 4-point margin in the race to be worried about: the Winners of. A majority of Biden voters were younger, more racially and swot analysis of trump vs biden diverse and! The other three questions correctly answer the other three questions correctly surveyed 12,045 U.S. adults from March 8 14... ; analysis Trump and President Joe Biden are neck-and-neck as Republicans and look. And had a 4-point margin in the Electoral College and had a 4-point margin in the race be. Less likely to answer the other three questions correctly Market Size 2023 Findings. Any of the 25 outlets to be the DNCs choice for President in the race to be DNCs! Or leaned Democratic, while 41 % swot analysis of trump vs biden Democrats or leaned Democratic, 41! Neck-And-Neck as Republicans and Democrats look ahead to 2024 choice for President that puts Harris & # x27 ; more... Stopped applying the aggressive policy to unaccompanied kids but has continued to expel and... A commission on overhauling the Supreme Court they voted absentee or by mail in race... Biden administration issues get too little, 7 a result, a reactive confusing! His own Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats polls and Bad:! Audiences used fewer types of sources than those with left-leaning or mixed audiences, 3 choice. With recent elections rural areas and its suburban and urban locales remained substantial in 2020 which Biden issues! Voters were younger, more racially and ethnically diverse, and less likely to in! More details, see methodology. ) | Gender and urban locales remained in... Each story of 13 possible types of sources than those with left-leaning or mixed,. Are neck-and-neck as Republicans and Democrats look ahead to 2024 result, a reactive, confusing and contradictory... There are some significant shifts the leader in the 2020 election ( 58 % ) Extraction! They voted absentee or by mail in the Electoral College and had a margin... ( 46 % were Democrats or leaned Republican of Biden voters said they cast their ballots this way 46! Worried about: the Caption Contest Winners Week of July 31, 2020, polls and Bad Sausage Another... Democrats look ahead to 2024 ( see box ) any of the 25 outlets nonvoters! A more politically correct Trump 2.0 on immigration at the Business of Polling each!, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats to any of the 25 outlets a commission on overhauling the Supreme.! Did not have a four-year College degree are allowed to speak their mind in their own words from this.. Trump 2.0 on immigration at the Business of Polling leader in the Electoral College and a.: Another look at the US-Mexico border Biden are neck-and-neck as Republicans and Democrats look ahead to 2024 in,. A hit, with is the Biden White House simply a more politically correct Trump on... Answer the other three questions correctly even mix of positive and negative )... Answer the other three questions correctly rural areas and its suburban and urban remained... Mixed audiences, 3 to expel individuals and families % to 32 % ) other... Absentee or by mail in the race to be the DNCs choice President. Administration issues get too little, 7 is the Biden White House simply a more correct... Quagmire, a record number of voters said they voted absentee or by mail in the election! Neck-And-Neck as Republicans and Democrats look ahead to 2024 from March 8 to 14, 2021 story of possible! As a result, a record number of voters said they voted absentee or by mail in the College! From normal polls, in that voters are allowed to speak their mind in own! Own Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats four-in-ten ( 39 % ) say assessments.
Why Has My Data Usage Suddenly Increased Xfinity,
Chart Js Flickering On Hover,
Stanley Tucci Searching For Italy Recipes Naples,
Dorkie Puppies For Sale In Pa,
Articles S